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Pick History & Analytics

18 dates tracked · 2026-05-25 → 2026-06-15
Performance — All Graded Bets
Record
109–59
168 bets
Accuracy
64.9%
break-even ≈ 52.4%
P&L ($10/bet)
+400.81
$1680 wagered
ROI
+23.86%
profit per wagered $
Avg Edge
+10.2pp
avg line -110
Current Streak
L1
longest W7 / L8
Best Day
+79.99
2026-05-31
Worst Day
-41.82
2026-06-04
By Rating
STRONG 52–24 · 68.4%
P&L +232.68 ROI +30.6%
VALUE 12–6 · 66.7%
P&L +49.08 ROI +27.3%
LEAN 45–29 · 60.8%
P&L +119.05 ROI +16.1%
Cumulative P&L  ·  17 days
2026-05-25 +400.81 running 2026-06-15
Daily P&L Breakdown
Date Bets Record P&L ROI
2026-06-15 9 6–3 +24.54 +27.3%
2026-06-14 7 5–2 +25.45 +36.4%
2026-06-13 13 7–6 +3.63 +2.8%
2026-06-12 11 8–3 +42.72 +38.8%
2026-06-11 6 4–2 +16.36 +27.3%
2026-06-10 13 9–4 +41.81 +32.2%
2026-06-09 8 6–2 +34.54 +43.2%
2026-06-08 7 6–1 +44.54 +63.6%
2026-06-07 14 11–3 +69.99 +50.0%
2026-06-06 11 8–3 +42.72 +38.8%
2026-06-05 10 4–6 -23.64 -23.6%
2026-06-04 8 2–6 -41.82 -52.3%
2026-06-03 10 5–5 -4.55 -4.6%
2026-06-02 10 6–4 +14.54 +14.5%
2026-06-01 7 5–2 +25.45 +36.4%
2026-05-31 13 11–2 +79.99 +61.5%
2026-05-25 11 6–5 +4.54 +4.1%
Calibration — Model Confidence vs. Actual
Model WP bucket Bets Expected Actual ROI
50–55% 6 54.8% 66.7%
+27.3%
55–60% 65 57.2% 61.5%
+17.5%
60–65% 41 62.3% 61.0%
+16.4%
65–70% 35 67.3% 68.6%
+30.9%
70%+ 21 73.7% 76.2%
+45.4%
Blue bar = actual win-rate; yellow tick = model's predicted average. Aligned = well calibrated.
All Graded Bets — newest first (168 rows)
All Strong Value Lean Wins Losses Has Vegas
Date Matchup Pick Rating Model WP Vegas WP CLV Edge Odds Kalshi Final W/L P&L
2026-06-15 MIA @ PHI PHI STRONG 66.1% — — +13.7pp -110 — 0–7 W +9.09
2026-06-15 KC @ WSH WSH STRONG 72.9% — — +20.5pp -110 — 3–7 W +9.09
2026-06-15 NYM @ CIN CIN LEAN 56.4% — — +4.0pp -110 — 0–12 W +9.09
2026-06-15 SD @ STL STL LEAN 58.4% — — +6.0pp -110 — 0–3 W +9.09
2026-06-15 COL @ CHC CHC VALUE 61.3% — — +8.9pp -110 — 4–5 W +9.09
2026-06-15 MIN @ TEX TEX STRONG 66.4% — — +14.0pp -110 — 4–2 L -10.00
2026-06-15 DET @ HOU HOU LEAN 55.4% — — +3.0pp -110 — 9–3 L -10.00
2026-06-15 PIT @ ATH ATH STRONG 64.1% — — +11.8pp -110 — 2–11 W +9.09
2026-06-15 TB @ LAD TB LEAN 55.0% — — +2.6pp -110 — 3–4 L -10.00
2026-06-14 SEA @ WSH SEA LEAN 56.4% — — +4.0pp -110 — 1–10 L -10.00
2026-06-14 AZ @ CIN AZ LEAN 55.4% — — +3.0pp -110 — 5–3 W +9.09
2026-06-14 STL @ MIN MIN LEAN 56.8% — — +4.4pp -110 — 4–5 W +9.09
2026-06-14 LAD @ CWS CWS LEAN 57.8% — — +5.4pp -110 — 4–6 W +9.09
2026-06-14 COL @ ATH ATH LEAN 60.3% — — +7.9pp -110 — 23–9 L -10.00
2026-06-14 CHC @ SF SF LEAN 57.9% — — +5.5pp -110 — 1–5 W +9.09
2026-06-14 TB @ LAA TB LEAN 57.0% — — +4.6pp -110 — 8–3 W +9.09
2026-06-13 STL @ MIN MIN STRONG 63.3% — — +10.9pp -110 — 9–6 L -10.00
2026-06-13 SD @ BAL SD LEAN 57.5% — — +5.1pp -110 — 9–3 W +9.09
2026-06-13 SEA @ WSH WSH LEAN 56.1% — — +3.7pp -110 — 3–8 W +9.09
2026-06-13 MIA @ PIT MIA LEAN 55.8% — — +3.4pp -110 — 2–3 L -10.00
2026-06-13 AZ @ CIN AZ STRONG 63.8% — — +11.5pp -110 — 1–2 L -10.00
2026-06-13 DET @ CLE DET LEAN 58.7% — — +6.3pp -110 — 1–3 L -10.00
2026-06-13 TEX @ BOS BOS LEAN 58.3% — — +5.9pp -110 — 3–6 W +9.09
2026-06-13 LAD @ CWS LAD LEAN 55.9% — — +3.5pp -110 — 7–1 W +9.09
2026-06-13 HOU @ KC KC LEAN 58.2% — — +5.8pp -110 — 8–7 L -10.00
2026-06-13 PHI @ MIL MIL STRONG 67.1% — — +14.7pp -110 — 9–8 L -10.00
2026-06-13 COL @ ATH ATH STRONG 63.4% — — +11.0pp -110 — 5–7 W +9.09
2026-06-13 CHC @ SF CHC LEAN 56.8% — — +4.4pp -110 — 6–1 W +9.09
2026-06-13 TB @ LAA LAA LEAN 55.8% — — +3.4pp -110 — 0–8 W +9.09
2026-06-12 SEA @ WSH SEA LEAN 56.2% — — +3.8pp -110 — 10–2 W +9.09
2026-06-12 SD @ BAL BAL LEAN 56.0% — — +3.7pp -110 — 3–7 W +9.09
2026-06-12 DET @ CLE CLE VALUE 61.0% — — +8.7pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-06-12 TEX @ BOS BOS LEAN 56.3% — — +3.9pp -110 — 1–10 W +9.09
2026-06-12 AZ @ CIN AZ LEAN 59.0% — — +6.6pp -110 — 5–2 W +9.09
2026-06-12 ATL @ NYM ATL LEAN 55.2% — — +2.8pp -110 — 5–7 L -10.00
2026-06-12 NYY @ TOR TOR LEAN 55.7% — — +3.3pp -110 — 5–8 W +9.09
2026-06-12 LAD @ CWS LAD LEAN 55.4% — — +3.0pp -110 — 2–8 L -10.00
2026-06-12 PHI @ MIL MIL LEAN 60.3% — — +8.0pp -110 — 0–6 W +9.09
2026-06-12 COL @ ATH ATH STRONG 65.0% — — +12.6pp -110 — 4–6 W +9.09
2026-06-12 CHC @ SF SF LEAN 57.8% — — +5.5pp -110 — 5–1 L -10.00
2026-06-11 STL @ NYM NYM STRONG 64.6% — — +12.2pp -110 — 4–5 W +9.09
2026-06-11 MIN @ DET DET STRONG 63.1% — — +10.7pp -110 — 0–11 W +9.09
2026-06-11 AZ @ MIA MIA STRONG 69.3% — — +16.9pp -110 — 0–2 W +9.09
2026-06-11 CHC @ COL COL LEAN 58.0% — — +5.6pp -110 — 9–3 L -10.00
2026-06-11 LAD @ PIT LAD LEAN 55.9% — — +3.5pp -110 — 8–6 W +9.09
2026-06-11 SEA @ BAL SEA LEAN 55.0% — — +2.6pp -110 — 5–7 L -10.00
2026-06-10 BOS @ TB TB STRONG 64.4% — — +12.0pp -110 — 5–7 W +9.09
2026-06-10 NYY @ CLE CLE LEAN 56.1% — — +3.7pp -110 — 8–4 L -10.00
2026-06-10 WSH @ SF SF LEAN 54.8% — — +2.5pp -110 — 10–11 W +9.09
2026-06-10 CIN @ SD SD STRONG 71.2% — — +18.9pp -110 — 4–5 W +9.09
2026-06-10 LAD @ PIT LAD VALUE 61.7% — — +9.3pp -110 — 8–9 L -10.00
2026-06-10 MIN @ DET DET LEAN 54.6% — — +2.2pp -110 — 6–4 L -10.00
2026-06-10 AZ @ MIA MIA STRONG 73.9% — — +21.5pp -110 — 0–8 W +9.09
2026-06-10 PHI @ TOR PHI STRONG 70.6% — — +18.2pp -110 — 7–4 W +9.09
2026-06-10 STL @ NYM NYM STRONG 64.8% — — +12.4pp -110 — 9–2 L -10.00
2026-06-10 TEX @ KC TEX LEAN 57.9% — — +5.5pp -110 — 6–4 W +9.09
2026-06-10 CHC @ COL COL LEAN 59.3% — — +6.9pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-06-10 MIL @ ATH ATH STRONG 63.1% — — +10.7pp -110 — 3–4 W +9.09
2026-06-10 HOU @ LAA LAA LEAN 59.1% — — +6.7pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-06-09 LAD @ PIT PIT STRONG 67.9% — — +15.6pp -110 — 12–3 L -10.00
2026-06-09 MIN @ DET MIN LEAN 55.1% — — +2.7pp -110 — 4–10 L -10.00
2026-06-09 AZ @ MIA MIA STRONG 65.6% — — +13.2pp -110 — 6–10 W +9.09
2026-06-09 PHI @ TOR TOR STRONG 64.7% — — +12.3pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-06-09 ATL @ CWS CWS LEAN 54.8% — — +2.4pp -110 — 5–6 W +9.09
2026-06-09 CHC @ COL COL VALUE 60.7% — — +8.3pp -110 — 3–7 W +9.09
2026-06-09 CIN @ SD CIN LEAN 56.8% — — +4.4pp -110 — 5–3 W +9.09
2026-06-09 MIL @ ATH ATH STRONG 68.7% — — +16.4pp -110 — 5–7 W +9.09
2026-06-08 SEA @ BAL SEA LEAN 58.8% — — +6.5pp -110 — 6–3 W +9.09
2026-06-08 BOS @ TB TB LEAN 58.4% — — +6.0pp -110 — 1–3 W +9.09
2026-06-08 PHI @ TOR PHI VALUE 60.8% — — +8.4pp -110 — 5–2 W +9.09
2026-06-08 HOU @ LAA HOU LEAN 55.5% — — +3.1pp -110 — 5–4 W +9.09
2026-06-08 CIN @ SD SD STRONG 69.5% — — +17.1pp -110 — 2–6 W +9.09
2026-06-08 WSH @ SF SF STRONG 65.5% — — +13.1pp -110 — 4–3 L -10.00
2026-06-08 MIL @ ATH MIL VALUE 61.4% — — +9.0pp -110 — 15–14 W +9.09
2026-06-07 PIT @ ATL ATL STRONG 64.6% — — +12.2pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-06-07 CWS @ PHI PHI STRONG 80.0% — — +27.6pp -110 — 5–9 W +9.09
2026-06-07 BOS @ NYY NYY STRONG 65.2% — — +12.8pp -110 — 1–6 W +9.09
2026-06-07 BAL @ TOR TOR STRONG 63.4% — — +11.0pp -110 — 4–6 W +9.09
2026-06-07 SEA @ DET SEA LEAN 58.9% — — +6.5pp -110 — 4–5 L -10.00
2026-06-07 TB @ MIA MIA VALUE 61.4% — — +9.0pp -110 — 1–4 W +9.09
2026-06-07 ATH @ HOU ATH VALUE 61.0% — — +8.6pp -110 — 5–0 W +9.09
2026-06-07 KC @ MIN MIN LEAN 57.9% — — +5.6pp -110 — 6–5 L -10.00
2026-06-07 CIN @ STL STL LEAN 58.1% — — +5.7pp -110 — 3–5 W +9.09
2026-06-07 CLE @ TEX TEX STRONG 65.7% — — +13.3pp -110 — 0–10 W +9.09
2026-06-07 MIL @ COL MIL STRONG 72.7% — — +20.3pp -110 — 12–4 W +9.09
2026-06-07 WSH @ AZ AZ STRONG 63.0% — — +10.6pp -110 — 1–5 W +9.09
2026-06-07 LAA @ LAD LAD STRONG 62.0% — — +9.7pp -110 — 13–5 L -10.00
2026-06-07 SF @ CHC SF VALUE 61.1% — — +8.7pp -110 — 2–1 W +9.09
2026-06-06 SEA @ DET SEA STRONG 67.2% — — +14.9pp -110 — 4–0 W +9.09
2026-06-06 KC @ MIN MIN VALUE 61.8% — — +9.4pp -110 — 3–2 L -10.00
2026-06-06 CIN @ STL STL STRONG 67.0% — — +14.6pp -110 — 5–6 W +9.09
2026-06-06 SF @ CHC CHC LEAN 59.0% — — +6.6pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-06-06 BAL @ TOR TOR STRONG 64.0% — — +11.6pp -110 — 4–6 W +9.09
2026-06-06 WSH @ AZ AZ STRONG 66.1% — — +13.7pp -110 — 6–1 L -10.00
2026-06-06 ATH @ HOU HOU STRONG 80.0% — — +27.6pp -110 — 2–13 W +9.09
2026-06-06 PIT @ ATL ATL LEAN 54.5% — — +2.2pp -110 — 3–6 W +9.09
2026-06-06 CLE @ TEX TEX LEAN 56.3% — — +3.9pp -110 — 6–0 L -10.00
2026-06-06 MIL @ COL MIL STRONG 77.5% — — +25.1pp -110 — 7–1 W +9.09
2026-06-06 LAA @ LAD LAD STRONG 73.6% — — +21.2pp -110 — 2–9 W +9.09
2026-06-05 SF @ CHC CHC LEAN 59.1% — — +6.7pp -110 — 18–3 L -10.00
2026-06-05 SEA @ DET SEA STRONG 66.0% — — +13.7pp -110 — 3–7 L -10.00
2026-06-05 CWS @ PHI PHI STRONG 69.3% — — +17.0pp -110 — 6–8 W +9.09
2026-06-05 BOS @ NYY NYY LEAN 58.1% — — +5.7pp -110 — 5–3 L -10.00
2026-06-05 BAL @ TOR TOR STRONG 65.4% — — +13.0pp -110 — 13–3 L -10.00
2026-06-05 TB @ MIA MIA STRONG 63.9% — — +11.5pp -110 — 6–0 L -10.00
2026-06-05 PIT @ ATL ATL VALUE 61.2% — — +8.8pp -110 — 3–6 W +9.09
2026-06-05 CIN @ STL STL STRONG 68.8% — — +16.5pp -110 — 3–10 W +9.09
2026-06-05 MIL @ COL COL LEAN 55.7% — — +3.4pp -110 — 9–7 L -10.00
2026-06-05 LAA @ LAD LAD LEAN 59.1% — — +6.8pp -110 — 0–1 W +9.09
2026-06-04 SD @ PHI PHI STRONG 73.0% — — +20.6pp -110 — 4–6 W +9.09
2026-06-04 CLE @ NYY NYY STRONG 63.3% — — +10.9pp -110 — 1–2 W +9.09
2026-06-04 SF @ MIL MIL STRONG 69.1% — — +16.7pp -110 — 12–9 L -10.00
2026-06-04 TOR @ ATL ATL LEAN 58.9% — — +6.5pp -110 — 7–2 L -10.00
2026-06-04 KC @ MIN MIN VALUE 60.5% — — +8.2pp -110 — 8–6 L -10.00
2026-06-04 ATH @ CHC ATH LEAN 56.5% — — +4.2pp -110 — 6–7 L -10.00
2026-06-04 PIT @ HOU HOU LEAN 58.4% — — +6.0pp -110 — 5–1 L -10.00
2026-06-04 LAD @ AZ LAD LEAN 60.2% — — +7.8pp -110 — 2–3 L -10.00
2026-06-03 DET @ TB TB STRONG 66.8% — — +14.4pp -110 — 7–2 L -10.00
2026-06-03 CWS @ MIN MIN STRONG 62.7% — — +10.4pp -110 — 8–0 L -10.00
2026-06-03 NYM @ SEA SEA VALUE 60.5% — — +8.1pp -110 — 7–1 L -10.00
2026-06-03 SD @ PHI PHI STRONG 67.5% — — +15.1pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-06-03 BAL @ BOS BOS STRONG 69.7% — — +17.4pp -110 — 1–8 W +9.09
2026-06-03 KC @ CIN CIN VALUE 61.8% — — +9.5pp -110 — 5–2 L -10.00
2026-06-03 TOR @ ATL ATL LEAN 56.5% — — +4.1pp -110 — 3–7 W +9.09
2026-06-03 PIT @ HOU PIT LEAN 55.3% — — +3.0pp -110 — 9–11 L -10.00
2026-06-03 COL @ LAA LAA LEAN 58.6% — — +6.2pp -110 — 4–11 W +9.09
2026-06-03 LAD @ AZ LAD STRONG 67.1% — — +14.8pp -110 — 7–0 W +9.09
2026-06-02 DET @ TB TB STRONG 63.4% — — +11.0pp -110 — 8–0 L -10.00
2026-06-02 SD @ PHI PHI LEAN 57.3% — — +4.9pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-06-02 CLE @ NYY NYY STRONG 70.1% — — +17.7pp -110 — 9–4 L -10.00
2026-06-02 TOR @ ATL ATL VALUE 61.6% — — +9.2pp -110 — 3–4 W +9.09
2026-06-02 SF @ MIL MIL STRONG 70.1% — — +17.7pp -110 — 3–8 W +9.09
2026-06-02 TEX @ STL STL STRONG 62.3% — — +10.0pp -110 — 7–4 L -10.00
2026-06-02 ATH @ CHC ATH STRONG 69.7% — — +17.3pp -110 — 2–1 W +9.09
2026-06-02 COL @ LAA COL LEAN 57.6% — — +5.3pp -110 — 8–2 W +9.09
2026-06-02 LAD @ AZ AZ STRONG 70.7% — — +18.3pp -110 — 6–5 L -10.00
2026-06-02 NYM @ SEA SEA LEAN 58.5% — — +6.1pp -110 — 3–8 W +9.09
2026-06-01 DET @ TB TB VALUE 60.9% — — +8.6pp -110 — 10–9 L -10.00
2026-06-01 KC @ CIN KC STRONG 80.0% — — +27.6pp -110 — 9–2 W +9.09
2026-06-01 CWS @ MIN MIN STRONG 68.6% — — +16.2pp -110 — 6–9 W +9.09
2026-06-01 SF @ MIL MIL STRONG 66.7% — — +14.3pp -110 — 2–16 W +9.09
2026-06-01 COL @ LAA LAA STRONG 67.3% — — +14.9pp -110 — 9–8 L -10.00
2026-06-01 LAD @ AZ AZ LEAN 56.1% — — +3.8pp -110 — 1–4 W +9.09
2026-06-01 NYM @ SEA SEA LEAN 56.0% — — +3.6pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-05-31 MIN @ PIT PIT STRONG 65.2% — — +12.8pp -110 — 3–9 W +9.09
2026-05-31 BOS @ CLE BOS LEAN 55.6% — — +3.2pp -110 — 9–4 W +9.09
2026-05-31 LAA @ TB TB STRONG 71.1% — — +18.7pp -110 — 2–5 W +9.09
2026-05-31 ATL @ CIN ATL STRONG 70.3% — — +18.0pp -110 — 4–6 L -10.00
2026-05-31 MIA @ NYM NYM STRONG 68.1% — — +15.7pp -110 — 1–10 W +9.09
2026-05-31 DET @ CWS CWS STRONG 69.9% — — +17.5pp -110 — 1–2 W +9.09
2026-05-31 MIL @ HOU MIL STRONG 69.1% — — +16.7pp -110 — 2–0 W +9.09
2026-05-31 KC @ TEX TEX VALUE 61.7% — — +9.3pp -110 — 3–6 W +9.09
2026-05-31 SF @ COL COL LEAN 57.4% — — +5.1pp -110 — 19–6 L -10.00
2026-05-31 NYY @ ATH NYY STRONG 65.9% — — +13.5pp -110 — 13–8 W +9.09
2026-05-31 AZ @ SEA SEA STRONG 72.8% — — +20.4pp -110 — 2–3 W +9.09
2026-05-31 PHI @ LAD LAD STRONG 70.9% — — +18.5pp -110 — 1–9 W +9.09
2026-05-31 CHC @ STL STL LEAN 59.3% — — +6.9pp -110 — 1–5 W +9.09
2026-05-25 MIN @ CWS CWS LEAN 54.9% — — +2.5pp -110 — 1–3 W +9.09
2026-05-25 STL @ MIL MIL STRONG 76.3% — — +23.9pp -110 — 1–5 W +9.09
2026-05-25 NYY @ KC NYY LEAN 58.5% — — +6.1pp -110 — 4–3 W +9.09
2026-05-25 CIN @ NYM NYM STRONG 75.8% — — +23.4pp -110 — 7–2 L -10.00
2026-05-25 AZ @ SF SF STRONG 67.0% — — +14.6pp -110 — 6–2 L -10.00
2026-05-25 WSH @ CLE CLE LEAN 58.0% — — +5.6pp -110 — 10–2 L -10.00
2026-05-25 PHI @ SD PHI LEAN 59.2% — — +6.8pp -110 — 3–0 W +9.09
2026-05-25 HOU @ TEX TEX LEAN 59.4% — — +7.0pp -110 — 9–0 L -10.00
2026-05-25 MIA @ TOR TOR STRONG 74.2% — — +21.8pp -110 — 8–2 L -10.00
2026-05-25 COL @ LAD LAD STRONG 67.3% — — +14.9pp -110 — 3–5 W +9.09
2026-05-25 SEA @ ATH SEA VALUE 60.8% — — +8.4pp -110 — 9–2 W +9.09